https://ojwatson.co.uk/tags/forecasting/forecastingSource Themes Academic (https://sourcethemes.com/academic/)en-us© 2026 OJ WatsonMon, 16 Feb 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://ojwatson.co.uk/img/headers/newyork.jpghttps://ojwatson.co.uk/tags/forecasting/https://ojwatson.co.uk/2026/02/16/humanitarian-forecast-evaluation-policy/Mon, 16 Feb 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://ojwatson.co.uk/2026/02/16/humanitarian-forecast-evaluation-policy/<p>A continuing focus is improving how epidemic forecasts are evaluated and interpreted for policy decisions in resource-constrained and crisis contexts.</p> <ul> <li>medRxiv preprint: <a href="https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.08.11.25333414">https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.08.11.25333414</a></li> <li>SocArXiv perspective: <a href="https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/tcjqs_v1">https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/tcjqs_v1</a></li> <li>Related tools: <a href="https://ojwatson.co.uk/project/vrcmort/">vrcmort</a> and <a href="https://ojwatson.co.uk/project/vpdsus/">vpdsus</a></li> </ul> <p>These outputs sit alongside ongoing work on mortality estimation, vaccine-preventable disease risk, cholera anticipatory action, and the translation of model evidence into humanitarian decision-making.</p> <p>See the <a href="https://ojwatson.co.uk/research/#humanitarian-evidence-for-humanitarian-operations">Humanitarian evidence for humanitarian operations</a> section for context.</p>